Full Report for Verge. by Michael Amundsen

Full Report for Verge. by Michael Amundsen

Verge is a two-player strategy game played on an initially empty hexhex board.

Generated at 2024-10-27, 06:43 from 1000 logged games.

Rules

Representative game (in the sense of being of mean length). Wherever you see the 'representative game' referred to in later sections, this is it!

The players take turns placing a stone of their color on an empty hex. The first player unable to place a stone has won.

The game is balanced with the pie rule: One player decides what player 1's first placement will be, and the other player decides whether to play as player 1 or player 2.

Miscellaneous

General comments:

Play: Combinatorial,Themed,Random Setup

Family: Combinatorial 2023

Mechanism(s): Capture,Connection,Stalemate

Components: Board

Level: Advanced

BGG Stats

BGG EntryVerge.
BGG Rating7.83333
#Voters6
SD1.57233
BGG Weight0
#Voters0
Year2023

BGG Ratings and Comments

UserRatingComment
alekerickson8
malloblenne7
poechicero10
hiimjosh5This is a good game, but it's not really for me. I felt like there weren't a lot moments of action considering how many moves we made (~80).
CoreyClark9A game unfortunately very close to my own incomplete game, Maelstrom. Oh well, you snooze, you lose.
RichardIngram8

Kolomogorov Complexity Analysis

Size (bytes)26380
Reference Size10915
Ratio2.42

Ai Ai calculates the size of the implementation, and compares it to the Ai Ai implementation of the simplest possible game (which just fills the board). Note that this estimate may include some graphics and heuristics code as well as the game logic. See the wikipedia entry for more details.

Playout Complexity Estimate

Playouts per second60087.13 (16.64µs/playout)
Reference Size518860.58 (1.93µs/playout)
Ratio (low is good)8.64

Tavener complexity: the heat generated by playing every possible instance of a game with a perfectly efficient programme. Since this is not possible to calculate, Ai Ai calculates the number of random playouts per second and compares it to the fastest non-trivial Ai Ai game (Connect 4). This ratio gives a practical indication of how complex the game is. Combine this with the computational state space, and you can get an idea of how strong the default (MCTS-based) AI will be.

State Space Complexity

% new positions/bucket

State Space Complexity144555454 
State Space Complexity bounds64808262 < 144555454 < ∞ 
State Space Complexity (log 10)8.16 
State Space Complexity bounds (log 10)7.81 <= 8.16 <= ∞ 
Samples1006001 
Confidence0.000: totally unreliable, 100: perfect

State space complexity (where present) is an estimate of the number of distinct game tree reachable through actual play. Over a series of random games, Ai Ai checks each position to see if it is new, or a repeat of a previous position and keeps a total for each game. As the number of games increase, the quantity of new positions seen per game decreases. These games are then partitioned into a number of buckets, and if certain conditions are met, Ai Ai treats the number in each bucket as the start of a strictly decreasing geometric sequence and sums it to estimate the total state space. The accuracy is calculated as 1-[end bucket count]/[starting bucklet count]

Playout/Search Speed

LabelIts/sSDNodes/sSDGame lengthSD
Random playout77,0051765,119,06011,566668
search.UCT75,9131,234719

Random: 10 second warmup for the hotspot compiler. 100 trials of 1000ms each.

Other: 100 playouts, means calculated over the first 5 moves only to avoid distortion due to speedup at end of game.

Mirroring Strategies

Rotation (Half turn) lost each game as expected.
Reflection (X axis) lost each game as expected.
Reflection (Y axis) lost each game as expected.
Copy last move lost each game as expected.

Mirroring strategies attempt to copy the previous move. On first move, they will attempt to play in the centre. If neither of these are possible, they will pick a random move. Each entry represents a different form of copying; direct copy, reflection in either the X or Y axis, half-turn rotation.

Win % By Player (Bias)

1: Player 1 win %48.70±3.09Includes draws = 50%
2: Player 1 win %51.30±3.10Includes draws = 50%
Draw %0.00Percentage of games where all players draw.
Decisive %100.00Percentage of games with a single winner.
Samples1000Quantity of logged games played

Note: that win/loss statistics may vary depending on thinking time (horizon effect, etc.), bad heuristics, bugs, and other factors, so should be taken with a pinch of salt. (Given perfect play, any game of pure skill will always end in the same result.)

Note: Ai Ai differentiates between states where all players draw or win or lose; this is mostly to support cooperative games.

UCT Skill Chains

MatchAIStrong WinsDrawsStrong Losses#GamesStrong Scorep1 Win%Draw%p2 Win%Game Length
0Random         
1UCT (its=2)63103669970.6025 <= 0.6329 <= 0.662353.560.0046.4466.59
5UCT (its=6)63103609910.6063 <= 0.6367 <= 0.666150.960.0049.0468.10
18UCT (its=19)63103459760.6160 <= 0.6465 <= 0.675953.180.0046.8270.07
29UCT (its=30)63103529830.6114 <= 0.6419 <= 0.671350.150.0049.8572.55
43UCT (its=44)63103549850.6102 <= 0.6406 <= 0.670049.750.0050.2573.36
61UCT (its=166)63101547850.7746 <= 0.8038 <= 0.830152.740.0047.2668.77
62UCT (its=451)63102468770.6889 <= 0.7195 <= 0.748250.860.0049.1468.71
63UCT (its=1225)63102719020.6688 <= 0.6996 <= 0.728650.110.0049.8967.47
64UCT (its=3330)63103629930.6050 <= 0.6354 <= 0.664853.580.0046.4267.57
65
UCT (its=9053)
221
0
181
402
0.5009 <= 0.5498 <= 0.5977
49.25
0.00
50.75
69.34
66
UCT (its=9053)
519
0
481
1000
0.4880 <= 0.5190 <= 0.5498
50.10
0.00
49.90
71.98

Search for levels ended: time limit reached.

Level of Play: Strong beats Weak 60% of the time (lower bound with 95% confidence).

Draw%, p1 win% and game length may give some indication of trends as AI strength increases.

1st Player Win Ratios by Playing Strength

This chart shows the win(green)/draw(black)/loss(red) percentages, as UCT play strength increases. Note that for most games, the top playing strength show here will be distinctly below human standard.

Complexity

Game length71.70 
Branching factor28.50 
Complexity10^92.66Based on game length and branching factor
Computational Complexity10^7.57Sample quality (100 best): 1.74
Samples1000Quantity of logged games played

Computational complexity (where present) is an estimate of the game tree reachable through actual play. For each game in turn, Ai Ai marks the positions reached in a hashtable, then counts the number of new moves added to the table. Once all moves are applied, it treats this sequence as a geometric progression and calculates the sum as n-> infinity.

Move Classification

Board Size61Quantity of distinct board cells
Distinct actions63Quantity of distinct moves (e.g. "e4") regardless of position in game tree
Killer moves1A 'killer' move is selected by the AI more than 50% of the time
Killers: Swap
Good moves19A good move is selected by the AI more than the average
Bad moves43A bad move is selected by the AI less than the average
Response distance%52.01%Distance from move to response / maximum board distance; a low value suggests a game is tactical rather than strategic.
Samples1000Quantity of logged games played

Board Coverage

A mean of 89.58% of board locations were used per game.

Colour and size show the frequency of visits.

Game Length

Game length frequencies.

Mean71.70
Mode[70]
Median72.0

Actions/turn

Table: branching factor per turn, based on a single representative* game. (* Representative in the sense that it is close to the mean game length.)

Action Types per Turn

This chart is based on a single representative* game, and gives a feel for the types of moves available throughout that game. (* Representative in the sense that it is close to the mean game length.)

Red: removal, Black: move, Blue: Add, Grey: pass, Purple: swap sides, Brown: other.

Trajectory

This chart shows the best move value with respect to the active player; the orange line represents the value of doing nothing (null move).

The lead changed on 4% of the game turns. Ai Ai found 2 critical turns (turns with only one good option).

Position Heatmap

This chart shows the relative temperature of all moves each turn. Colour range: black (worst), red, orange(even), yellow, white(best).

Good/Effective moves

MeasureAll playersPlayer 1Player 2
Mean % of effective moves60.5961.9659.21
Mean no. of effective moves11.4217.725.11
Effective game space10^58.7310^38.8910^19.84
Mean % of good moves41.100.3281.89
Mean no. of good moves6.080.1911.97
Good move game space10^30.2210^0.8510^29.38

These figures were calculated over a single game.

An effective move is one with score 0.1 of the best move (including the best move). -1 (loss) <= score <= 1 (win)

A good move has a score > 0. Note that when there are no good moves, an multiplier of 1 is used for the game space calculation.

Quality Measures

MeasureValueDescription
Hot turns72.22%A hot turn is one where making a move is better than doing nothing.
Momentum25.00%% of turns where a player improved their score.
Correction23.61%% of turns where the score headed back towards equality.
Depth1.08%Difference in evaluation between a short and long search.
Drama0.00%How much the winner was behind before their final victory.
Foulup Factor11.11%Moves that looked better than the best move after a short search.
Surprising turns0.00%Turns that looked bad after a short search, but good after a long one.
Last lead change13.89%Distance through game when the lead changed for the last time.
Decisiveness19.44%Distance from the result being known to the end of the game.

These figures were calculated over a single representative* game, and based on the measures of quality described in "Automatic Generation and Evaluation of Recombination Games" (Cameron Browne, 2007). (* Representative, in the sense that it is close to the mean game length.)

Swap Heatmap (Full Scan)

Colour shows the frequency of swaps on turn 2 if this move is played on turn 1; black < red < yellow < white.

Based on 100 trials/move at 0.1s thinking time each.

Openings

MovesAnimation
e2,Swap,h2,g6,b8,h5
g6,Swap,h2,e2,b8,h5
e2,Swap,h5,d3,b5,e8
d3,Swap,h5,e2,b5,e8
b5,Swap,h4,e8,b8,h2
b5,Swap,b8,e8,h4,h2
e8,Swap,h4,b5,b8,h2
e8,Swap,b8,b5,h4,h2
e2,Swap,h5,d3,b5
d3,Swap,h5,e2,b5
b5,Swap,h4,e8,b8
b5,Swap,b8,e8,h4

Opening Heatmap

Colour shows the success ratio of this play over the first 10moves; black < red < yellow < white.

Size shows the frequency this move is played.

Swap Heatmap (Historic)

Colour shows the frequency of swaps on turn 2 if this move is played on turn 1; black < red < yellow < white.

Size shows the frequency this move is played.

Unique Positions Reachable at Depth

01234
16137821154123354512

Note: most games do not take board rotation and reflection into consideration.
Multi-part turns could be treated as the same or different depth depending on the implementation.
Counts to depth N include all moves reachable at lower depths.
Inaccuracies may also exist due to hash collisions, but Ai Ai uses 64-bit hashes so these will be a very small fraction of a percentage point.

Shortest Game(s)

No solutions found to depth 4.

Puzzles

PuzzleSolution

Player 1 (White) to win in 14 moves

Player 2 (White) to win in 14 moves

Player 2 (White) to win in 12 moves

Weak puzzle selection criteria are in place; the first move may not be unique.